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US Equities Still Gain On Mildly Bad News

Weekly jobless claims outweighed the ECB policy meeting, US CPI and a 30-y Treasury auction yesterday!

Samantha Luan

Why Trump’s Use Of Military In US Is So Controversial

President Donald Trump has repeatedly deployed the US military for domestic assignments. In June, he summoned the Guard and the Marines to Los Angeles — over the objections of local leaders — to subdue protests against his administration’s mass arrests of migrants. And in August, Trump called up the Guard to combat violent street crime in Washington, DC.

Kevin Du

US Floats G-7 Tariffs On Russian Oil Purchases To Corner Putin

The US will urge its allies in the Group of Seven to impose tariffs as high as 100% on China and India for their purchases of Ru

Devin

Stock Market Today: Dow Slips, S&P 500 And Nasdaq Waver With Fed Rate Cut Seen As Done Deal

US stocks were mixed on Friday as Wall Street took stock of the US economy from a lofty, record-setting perch ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated decision on interest rates next week.

Olivia Brooks

Crucial Fed Rate Cuts: Deutsche Bank Unveils Three Expected Slashes This Year

The financial world is buzzing with a significant update: Deutsche Bank has revised its outlook, now forecasting three Fed rate cuts this year. This pivotal shift from their previous expectation of just two cuts signals a potentially major change in the economic landscape, with implications for everything from your mortgage to the cryptocurrency market. What exactly does this mean, and why is Deutsche Bank’s updated prediction drawing so much attention?

Thomas

US Deficit Explodes In August Despite Rising Tariff Revenues As Government Spending Soars

We used to dread covering the monthly update of US government income and spending because, without fail, it would show that the USS Titanic was getting that much closer to the inevitable iceberg crash.

Winkelmann

Bitcoin Tops $116K As Network Hashrate Breaks 1 Zetahash For First Time

On Friday, Bitcoin not only hit a new peak of $116,000 in market value but also hit a new historical peak of 1 zetahash-per-second on the hashrate of the crypto network, the first time in Bitcoin’s history.

Olivia Brooks

South Korean Workers Detained In US Head Home As Seoul Seeks Support For New Visa

South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Hyun has urged the U.S. Congress to support a new visa for his country's businesses, as hundreds of mainly Korean workers arrested during a massive U.S. immigration raid last week were set to return home on Friday.

Winkelmann

News

US Urges G-7 Sanctions on Russia Oil as Trump Loses Patience

Trump has told European officials he’s willing to impose sweeping new tariffs on India and China to push Putin to the negotiating table with Ukraine — but only if nations in Europe do so as well.

Manuel

Polymarket Seeking Funding Round That Could 10x its Valuation to $10B

According to one source, at least one investor offered a term sheet valuing the company at $10 billion. A Polymarket spokesperson declined to comment on the funding talks.

Manuel

Bessent Met With BlackRock's Rieder as Search for Next Fed Chair Continues, Source Says

Bessent has now spoken with four of the 11 candidates on the administration's list of candidates to replace Fed chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires in May, the source said.

Manuel

Nasdaq Notches 5th Straight Record, Dow Tumbles as Wall Street Gears up for Fed Week

Meanwhile, inflation remains stubborn, with consumer prices rising last month amid more signs that President Trump's tariffs are filtering their way into the economy.

Manuel

Amid These Results, Hyperliquid's HYPE Token Registered a new all-Time High of $57.30 on Sept. 12, up by Youghly 760% Since its Launch.

Amid these results, Hyperliquid's HYPE token registered a new all-time high of $57.30 on Sept. 12, up by roughly 760% since its launch.

Manuel

Drugmakers Fall on Report US to Claim Covid Shots Killed Kids

Moderna shares dropped as much as 8.7% during trading in New York Friday. Pfizer shares fell as much as 3.6%. BioNTech’s US-traded shares sank as much as 14%.

Manuel

Do private markets offer better returns than public markets? Good question

Private markets can outperform, but results are mixed and depend on benchmarks and methods. High fees and liquidity limits pose challenges, though they may still offer diversification benefits over public markets.

Adam

Gold is the ‘canary in the coal mine’ as Trump policies risk ‘a real financial market crisis’ – AEI’s Lachman

AEI’s Desmond Lachman warns gold’s surge signals looming financial crisis under Trump’s policies. Mounting debt, Fed pressure, tariffs, and eroding dollar trust drive central banks to gold, threatening U.S. market stability.

Adam

Analysis-Wall Street braces for quarter-end liquidity stress in money markets

Wall Street braces for quarter-end liquidity strain as Treasury issuance and tax deadlines pressure funding. SOFR signals stress, reserves are falling, but Fed tools and preparation make a 2019-style crunch unlikely.

Adam

Fed's fear meter may be pointing to stagnation, rather than stagflation

The Fed is set to cut rates next week, shifting focus from inflation to a weakening job market. Officials may opt for 25 bps but debate 50 bps, as employment revisions show sharp slowdown.

Adam

Here's why the Fed might cut by 50 bps at next week's meeting

Markets now see a real chance of a 50 bps “insurance cut” next week. Inflation looks contained via softer PCE, but jobless claims and weak payrolls push the Fed to act more aggressively.

Adam

Spain Sees Chance To Repair Ties With US As It Hosts China Trade Talks

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng chose Madrid as the venue to continue their discussions, and a government source said Spain would make use of that opportunity.

Damon

Bitcoin: Path to $120K Hinges on Sustaining Above $114,600 Support

Bitcoin rose 3.5% but faces resistance near \$115K. Sustaining daily closes above \$114,600 could open a path to \$120K–\$125K. Fed’s September 17 rate decision and Powell’s guidance remain key drivers.

Adam

UK Economy Flatlines in July in Grim News for Rachel Reeves

Official GDP figures confirm widely expected slowdown after strong expansion in first half of the year

Warren Takunda

How government debt stress could roll across world markets

Rising government debt fears are lifting long-term yields worldwide, threatening to spread stress beyond bonds. Risks include weaker currencies, Europe’s slowdown, pressure on big tech, and a shift in Japanese capital flows.

Adam

Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Falls to 55.4 In September As Inflation Expectations Rise

The gold market is trading higher ahead of the weekend after the latest data showed consumer sentiment in the U.S. declining more than expected, while inflation expectations rose higher once again.

Michelle

Euro-Dollar Buyers In "A Good Place"

Strategists say the path to further gains in the euro to dollar conversion (EUR/USD) is intact.

Warren Takunda

US Dollar: History Suggests Greenback’s Final Plunge Is Yet to Come

Analysis of USD/CHF cycles since 1970 suggests the dollar’s long-term decline, begun in 2017, likely extends into 2027. Past cycles show steep final-year drops, implying a major USD plunge is still ahead.

Adam

Right-Wing Anger Surges As Kirk’s Killing Fuels Calls for Vengeance

Trump supporters blame left for Kirk's murder, fueling political tensions; Calls for vengeance and radicalization surge on right-wing platforms; Democratic leaders condemn violence, urge calm amid rising tensions.

Glendon

Malaysia Reins In Data Centre Growth, Complicating China's AI Chip Access

Malaysia, a hotspot for data centres, is reining in the pace of expansion in a move industry insiders and analysts expect will hinder China's efforts to gain access to powerful chips that are crucial to improving its artificial intelligence capabilities.

Samantha Luan

Wall Street Expects Rally in Riskiest Stocks to Last 12 Months

Wall Street strategists see small caps extending gains as Fed rate cuts lower borrowing costs. Russell 2000 could rise 20% over 12 months, outpacing S\&P 500, supported by earnings growth, low valuations, and bullish positioning.

Adam

London Midday: Stocks Maintain Gains but Ocado Tumbles on Kroger Worries

London stocks rose by midday Friday as expectations of a US rate cut lifted sentiment, despite flat UK GDP data showing economic fragility.

Warren Takunda

US Proposes Broad G-7 Sanctions on Russian Energy to End War

The US will urge its allies in the Group of Seven to imposes tariffs as high as 100% on China and India for their purchases of Russian oil in an effort to convince President Vladimir Putin to end his war in Ukraine.

Michelle

Jobs now matter more than inflation — even as tariff pressures build

Tariffs are lifting prices on food, cars, and goods, but jobs now drive Fed policy. Rising jobless claims and weak payrolls push rate-cut bets, while markets hit highs despite shaky fundamentals.

Adam

Oil Prices Surge on Ukrainian Drone Threat, Expanded Russian Sanctions Fears

Oil prices are surging this morning as the market is caught in a "tug-of-war" between bearish fundamentals and heightened geopolitical risks (as Citigroup put it).

Glendon

Oil News: OPEC vs IEA Outlook Splits Traders on Oil Demand and Supply Risks

Crude rebounded from \$61 lows, holding key support. OPEC sees stronger demand, while IEA warns of oversupply. Geopolitical risks from Russia and Middle East aid prices. Bullish above \$63.30, resistance heavy near \$66.

Adam

Rising Inflation and a Deteriorating Job Market Puts the Fed and Americans in a Difficult Spot

U.S. inflation accelerated to 2.9% in August, fueled by higher gas, food, and airfare costs, while jobless claims surged to a four-year high. The combination of rising prices and a weakening labor market raises stagflation risks, complicating the Federal Reserve’s plan to cut rates next week under pressure from the White House.

Warren Takunda

Rolling Options Explained, Part 1: Understanding The Basics And Why Rolling Matters

Rolling lets you adapt an options trade without starting over - by changing the strike, expiry, or both. This first article in a four-part guide introduces the concept using covered calls and cash-secured puts, with clear examples of both offensive and defensive rolls.

SAXO

U.S. futures muted after stocks jump; Adobe lifts outlook - what’s moving markets

Futures flat after record highs; Adobe lifts outlook on AI. Michigan sentiment eyed. Microsoft–OpenAI reach deal on restructuring. Oil slips on oversupply worries.

Adam

USA EIA Reveals Latest Brent Oil Price Forecast

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed its latest Brent spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its September short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on September 9.

Michelle

Markets Today: Alibaba Surges, UK Economy Stalls, Gold Holds Firm. FTSE Consolidates After Breakout

Asian stocks rallied on AI momentum with Alibaba surging, while the UK economy stalled in July. European shares slipped on healthcare and luxury weakness. Oil held steady, gold firmed near \$3650 amid Fed rate-cut hopes.

Adam

Bitcoin's Historical September Low May Already Be Priced In

Historical monthly patterns suggest early September could mark the bottom before Q4 momentum builds.

Glendon

FX Daily: Policy Convergence Raises EUR/USD Potential

Yesterday’s US CPI report showed slightly hotter than expected headline inflation (0.4% MoM), while the more closely monitored core rate rose by 0.3% MoM in line with consensus.

ING

European Midday Briefing: Stocks Fall; France Rating Decision Due

European stocks fell Friday ahead of Fitch’s France rating decision, with CAC 40 slipping. UK growth stalled in July. Gold surged on Fed rate-cut hopes, while oil dropped on oversupply worries.

Adam

Bank of Canada Set to Resume Rate Cuts

At the previous BoC meeting in July, the central bank held rates steady at 2.75% and suggested that the economy was “showing some resilience, and ongoing pressures on underlying inflation”.

ING

ECB Policymakers Keep Rate Options Open Amid Uncertain Outlook

Villeroy says another rate cut entirely possible; Rehn: downside risks not to be underestimated; Kazaks singles out December meeting; Kocher says too early to say if rate cuts over.

Glendon

Solana SOL’s Phenomenal Rise: Dethroning BNB In The Crypto Ranks

Solana SOL, often celebrated for its high-speed transactions and innovative technology, has officially ascended to a new height.

Samantha Luan

China Says Fiscal Support to Remain Flexible, Debt Ratio 'reasonable'

China's fiscal policy has ample room, the government's debt ratio remains "reasonable" and risks are controllable, Finance Minister Lan Foan said on Friday, pledging a more flexible fiscal push to shore up economic growth.

Michelle

Does Denmark’s Economy Depend On Obesity?

Before iPhones and Androids came along and blew up its market, Nokia was one of the world’s biggest mobile-phone makers.In the late 1990s and early 2000s, Finland’s economy swelled on the success of its national champion, enjoying unprecedented growth and record tax revenue.

Winkelmann

Dollar Regains Some Ground, Still Heading for Weekly Drop

Cracks appearing in labour market give green light to Fed; Euro awaits Fitch verdict on French finances.

Glendon

India Maintains Confidence in Foxconn's Expansion Despite Chinese Workforce Withdrawal

India's government downplays any major disruption to Foxconn's iPhone production following the return of Chinese staff, emphasizing the company’s ongoing commitment to expansion and the stability of its local operations....

Gerik

South Korean Workers Return Home A Week After Immigration Raid

Some 300 South Korean workers returned home on Friday, one week after being detained in a large-scale US immigration raid at a battery project site in Georgia.

Daniel Carter

Markets Support Fed’s Rate-Cut Credibility as Economic Acceleration Signals Emerge

According to Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett, investors believe the Federal Reserve retains credibility to initiate rate cuts amid signs of U.S. growth recovery, with market behavior reflecting confidence in the central bank’s timing....

Gerik

EU Aluminium Industry Calls for 30% Scrap Export Levy to Safeguard Strategic Supply Chain

European aluminium producers are urging the European Commission to impose a 30% export duty on aluminium scrap to secure domestic supply, citing rising exports to Asia and market distortions caused by U.S. tariffs and global subsidies....

Gerik

Strategic Diplomacy Fuels Australian Push to Secure Critical Mineral Ties with the United States

Over 20 Australian critical minerals firms, including Nyrstar and Pilbara Minerals, are heading to the U.S. for meetings in Washington and New York to deepen industrial collaboration, seek funding..

Gerik

U.S. equity markets reached record highs on Wednesday

ariff impacts continue to influence price pressures. Meanwhile, weekly jobless claims rose to the highest level in nearly four years, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by at least 25 basis points in its upcoming meeting...

Gerik

U.S. customs duties surged to $29.5 billion in August

SummaryU.S. customs duties surged to $29.5 billion in August a new monthly record and the first full month of President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariff regime. While this has strengthened federal revenues in the short term, economists warn that its inflationary effects are visible in consumer prices...

Gerik

UK Economy Stalls in July, Setting Stage for Autumn Budget Challenges

The UK economy stagnated in July after a modest 0.4% expansion in June, reflecting weakness in production output despite slight growth in services and construction...

Gerik

Ukrainian Drones Attack Russia's Key Oil Port Primorsk Overnight

Ukrainian drones attacked Primorsk, home to Russia's main oil-loading terminal on the Baltic coast.

Daniel Carter

China Suspends Bond Flow Data Amid Sovereign Debt Selloff

China’s Shanghai Tiantian Fund Sales Corp. has halted the release of daily bond flow data as a selloff in government debt intensifies, driven by a surging stock market and policy changes affecting bond investments...

Gerik

Trump’s Tariffs Push August Revenue to Nearly $30 Billion Amid Inflation Concerns

The first full month of President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs generated a record $29.5 billion in U.S. revenue for August, marking a significant increase from prior months...

Gerik

UK Economy Stalls in July, As Slowdown Sets in

The U.K. economy registered zero growth in July, according to the latest data from the U.K.'s Office for National Statistics on Friday.

Glendon

China Faces Policy Balancing Act as Fed Rate Cut Approaches

China’s central bank confronts a delicate dilemma: stimulate a slowing economy without overheating the stock market. While a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut could provide Beijing some policy flexibility...

Gerik

Rising Government Debt Stress Could Ripple Across Global Markets

Escalating concerns about sovereign debt from the U.S. to Japan are creating pressure in bond markets, with investors now bracing for potential knock-on effects across equities, real estate, and currencies...

Gerik

Claims Trump CPI Amid Dovish Cross-Asset Trade

That's certainly how the market looked at things yesterday, after an August US CPI report that was broadly inline with expectations, contrasted with a marked and surprising rise in initial jobless claims.

Pepperstone

IC Markets Asia Fundamental Forecast | 12 September 2025

The US trading session on September 11, 2025, was characterized by a “goldilocks” scenario for risk assets – inflation came in as expected without major upside surprises, while labor market data showed clear softening that supports Federal Reserve easing.

IC Markets

Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs Push U.S. Revenue Near $30 Billion in August

Tariff revenues surged to $29.5 billion in August, marking the first full month of President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariff regime. While boosting U.S. coffers, the measures contributed to price pressures in sectors like food and apparel and face ongoing legal challenges that could affect the longevity of the gains....

Gerik

Oil Prices Slip Amid Oversupply Concerns and U.S. Demand Uncertainty

Oil prices extended losses on Friday as global supply continued to outpace demand, while growing uncertainty over U.S. consumption added downward pressure...

Gerik

Dollar Weakens as Jobless Claims and Inflation Data Strengthen Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The U.S. dollar fell for a second consecutive week after a surge in jobless claims and moderate inflation data reinforced expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts...

Gerik

Asian Markets Reach Record Highs Amid Anticipation of U.S. Rate Cuts

Asian equities surged to record levels as markets reacted to expectations of multiple upcoming Federal Reserve rate cuts, easing global borrowing costs and boosting investor sentiment...

Gerik

Market News

US Equities Still Gain On Mildly Bad News

Why Trump’s Use Of Military In US Is So Controversial

US Floats G-7 Tariffs On Russian Oil Purchases To Corner Putin

Stock Market Today: Dow Slips, S&P 500 And Nasdaq Waver With Fed Rate Cut Seen As Done Deal

Crucial Fed Rate Cuts: Deutsche Bank Unveils Three Expected Slashes This Year

US Deficit Explodes In August Despite Rising Tariff Revenues As Government Spending Soars

Bitcoin Tops $116K As Network Hashrate Breaks 1 Zetahash For First Time

South Korean Workers Detained In US Head Home As Seoul Seeks Support For New Visa

US Urges G-7 Sanctions on Russia Oil as Trump Loses Patience

Polymarket Seeking Funding Round That Could 10x its Valuation to $10B

Bessent Met With BlackRock's Rieder as Search for Next Fed Chair Continues, Source Says

Nasdaq Notches 5th Straight Record, Dow Tumbles as Wall Street Gears up for Fed Week

Amid These Results, Hyperliquid's HYPE Token Registered a new all-Time High of $57.30 on Sept. 12, up by Youghly 760% Since its Launch.

Drugmakers Fall on Report US to Claim Covid Shots Killed Kids

Do private markets offer better returns than public markets? Good question

Gold is the ‘canary in the coal mine’ as Trump policies risk ‘a real financial market crisis’ – AEI’s Lachman

Analysis-Wall Street braces for quarter-end liquidity stress in money markets

Fed's fear meter may be pointing to stagnation, rather than stagflation

Here's why the Fed might cut by 50 bps at next week's meeting

Spain Sees Chance To Repair Ties With US As It Hosts China Trade Talks

Bitcoin: Path to $120K Hinges on Sustaining Above $114,600 Support

UK Economy Flatlines in July in Grim News for Rachel Reeves

How government debt stress could roll across world markets

Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Falls to 55.4 In September As Inflation Expectations Rise

Euro-Dollar Buyers In "A Good Place"

US Dollar: History Suggests Greenback’s Final Plunge Is Yet to Come

Right-Wing Anger Surges As Kirk’s Killing Fuels Calls for Vengeance

Malaysia Reins In Data Centre Growth, Complicating China's AI Chip Access

Wall Street Expects Rally in Riskiest Stocks to Last 12 Months

London Midday: Stocks Maintain Gains but Ocado Tumbles on Kroger Worries

US Proposes Broad G-7 Sanctions on Russian Energy to End War

Jobs now matter more than inflation — even as tariff pressures build

Oil Prices Surge on Ukrainian Drone Threat, Expanded Russian Sanctions Fears

Oil News: OPEC vs IEA Outlook Splits Traders on Oil Demand and Supply Risks

Rising Inflation and a Deteriorating Job Market Puts the Fed and Americans in a Difficult Spot

Rolling Options Explained, Part 1: Understanding The Basics And Why Rolling Matters

U.S. futures muted after stocks jump; Adobe lifts outlook - what’s moving markets

USA EIA Reveals Latest Brent Oil Price Forecast

Markets Today: Alibaba Surges, UK Economy Stalls, Gold Holds Firm. FTSE Consolidates After Breakout

Bitcoin's Historical September Low May Already Be Priced In

FX Daily: Policy Convergence Raises EUR/USD Potential

European Midday Briefing: Stocks Fall; France Rating Decision Due

Bank of Canada Set to Resume Rate Cuts

ECB Policymakers Keep Rate Options Open Amid Uncertain Outlook

Solana SOL’s Phenomenal Rise: Dethroning BNB In The Crypto Ranks

China Says Fiscal Support to Remain Flexible, Debt Ratio 'reasonable'

Does Denmark’s Economy Depend On Obesity?

Dollar Regains Some Ground, Still Heading for Weekly Drop

India Maintains Confidence in Foxconn's Expansion Despite Chinese Workforce Withdrawal

South Korean Workers Return Home A Week After Immigration Raid

Markets Support Fed’s Rate-Cut Credibility as Economic Acceleration Signals Emerge

EU Aluminium Industry Calls for 30% Scrap Export Levy to Safeguard Strategic Supply Chain

Strategic Diplomacy Fuels Australian Push to Secure Critical Mineral Ties with the United States

U.S. equity markets reached record highs on Wednesday

U.S. customs duties surged to $29.5 billion in August

UK Economy Stalls in July, Setting Stage for Autumn Budget Challenges

Ukrainian Drones Attack Russia's Key Oil Port Primorsk Overnight

China Suspends Bond Flow Data Amid Sovereign Debt Selloff

Trump’s Tariffs Push August Revenue to Nearly $30 Billion Amid Inflation Concerns

UK Economy Stalls in July, As Slowdown Sets in

China Faces Policy Balancing Act as Fed Rate Cut Approaches

Rising Government Debt Stress Could Ripple Across Global Markets

Claims Trump CPI Amid Dovish Cross-Asset Trade

IC Markets Asia Fundamental Forecast | 12 September 2025

Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs Push U.S. Revenue Near $30 Billion in August

Oil Prices Slip Amid Oversupply Concerns and U.S. Demand Uncertainty

Dollar Weakens as Jobless Claims and Inflation Data Strengthen Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Asian Markets Reach Record Highs Amid Anticipation of U.S. Rate Cuts