Mexico Weighs Cuba Fuel Aid Amid U.S. Tariff Threats

Mexican officials are navigating a diplomatic minefield, exploring ways to send essential fuel to Cuba without triggering punishing tariffs from the United States. According to four sources familiar with the discussions, high-level talks are underway to find a solution that balances humanitarian support with economic reality.

The core of the issue is an executive order from U.S. President Donald Trump threatening tariffs against any country supplying fuel to the island nation. Mexican officials have been in frequent contact with their U.S. counterparts to understand the full scope of this threat and determine if any exemptions for aid are possible.

High-Stakes Talks Over Cuban Fuel Shipments

The outcome of these negotiations remains uncertain. When asked about the situation, the White House pointed to earlier remarks from President Trump, who told reporters on Monday he believed Mexico would cease oil shipments to Cuba, though he did not specify why.

The Mexican presidency and the U.S. State Department did not immediately provide comments, while Mexico's Foreign Ministry stated it had no information on the matter.

"There are talks happening almost every other day," said one source, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. "Mexico doesn't want tariffs imposed, but it is also firm in its policy of helping the Cuban people."

Three of the sources indicated that the talks are progressing, expressing hope that a resolution can be found. If an agreement is reached, two sources noted that Mexico could dispatch a tanker with gasoline, food, and other supplies classified as humanitarian aid within days.

Cuba's Deepening Energy Crisis

The need for fuel in Cuba is critical. The country imports two-thirds of its energy and is currently facing severe power outages and long lines at gas stations.

The crisis intensified after a U.S. blockade of Venezuelan tankers in December, followed by the capture of President Nicolas Maduro in early January, which halted oil shipments from Venezuela. This left Mexico as Cuba's largest supplier, but that relief was short-lived.

In mid-January, the Mexican government stopped its own shipments of crude and refined products following pressure from the Trump administration. Washington then issued its tariff threat, justifying it by claiming Cuba poses an "extraordinary threat" to U.S. national security—a charge Havana denies.

In response to the shortages, the Cuban government announced on Thursday that it was developing a plan to address "acute fuel shortages," with more details expected next week.

Humanitarian Concerns and Political Pressures

The situation has drawn international attention. U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres warned this week that Cuba could face a humanitarian "collapse" if its energy needs are not met.

Domestically, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum is facing pressure from her own coalition. The ruling Morena party has long-standing ideological and historical ties to Cuba, and there is a strong desire within the party not to abandon Havana in its time of need.

Sheinbaum herself highlighted the potential human cost of the U.S. policy. "Imposing tariffs on countries that supply oil to Cuba could trigger a far-reaching humanitarian crisis, directly affecting hospitals, food, and other basic services for the Cuban people," she stated last Friday. "A situation that must be avoided through respect for international law and dialogue."