Private Sector Empowerment Becomes Strategic Pillar Amid Trade War Uncertainty
On April 30, 2025, China approved a sweeping new law aimed at reinforcing the private sector, signaling Beijing’s recognition that long-term economic resilience depends on domestic dynamism rather than external demand. The “Law on Promoting the Private Economy,” containing 78 articles, will take effect on May 20 and is being described as both a legal framework and a morale booster for private businesses increasingly strained by prolonged regulatory ambiguity and trade disruptions.
The law was finalized after three rounds of deliberation by the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress. It lays out policy commitments to improve market competition, enhance access to finance, encourage technological innovation, and protect the economic rights of private entities. This move comes as China seeks to counterbalance weakening export activity and combat investor skepticism following years of inconsistent policy signals.
A Timely Legislative Push During Economic Vulnerability
The new law arrives as China’s economy faces mounting headwinds from a multi-front trade confrontation with the U.S., which has imposed a 145% tariff rate on Chinese goods—combining a 125% retaliatory layer with a pre-existing 20%. In response, Beijing enacted its own 125% tariffs on American imports and halted Boeing orders while restricting strategic exports.
However, both sides have recently signaled a willingness to moderate. China is reportedly considering suspending tariffs on certain U.S. goods such as medical equipment and industrial chemicals like ethane, echoing a reciprocal U.S. move to exempt electronics from the 145% levy. This tentative easing illustrates how trade war escalation is now driving broader domestic reform in Beijing’s economic playbook.
Legal Reform Anchored In Economic Reality
The law’s drafting began in 2024, spearheaded by China’s National Development and Reform Commission. A draft was released for public comment in October, incorporating key feedback from private entrepreneurs—particularly around issues like arbitrary penalties and law enforcement bias, long viewed as major deterrents to private sector investment.
New additions to the final version directly address the private sector’s longstanding grievances, including unequal market access and the sense that state-owned enterprises enjoy preferential regulatory treatment. By pledging fairer enforcement and curbing opportunistic fines for revenue generation, the law aims to revive private sector confidence and stabilize the business climate.
Private Sector's Pivotal Economic Role Acknowledged
According to China’s National Bureau of Statistics, the private economy contributes over 60% of national GDP, 70% of innovation output, and 80% of urban employment. Yet despite this significance, years of overregulation and policy ambiguity have discouraged private investment and fueled a perception that the state favors public sector dominance.
Although private investment declined in recent years, a modest rebound of 0.4% in Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 may indicate early signs of recovery. Still, structural challenges remain, and Beijing appears intent on using legal instruments to offer clarity, stability, and long-term reassurance.
Political Signaling Through High-Level Engagement
President Xi Jinping’s decision to convene a landmark meeting with the country’s top private entrepreneurs in February—the first such session since 2018—was seen as a high-profile gesture to reset relations with the private sector. That meeting likely served as a precursor to the legislative push, underlining the central government’s shift toward enabling private enterprise as a strategic buffer against external economic shocks.
The legislative effort also appears designed to shift expectations. Rather than short-term fiscal stimulus, Beijing is betting on structural reforms and regulatory clarity to unlock domestic productivity. The move reflects a causal approach: as external uncertainty rises, internal stabilization through legal safeguards becomes more urgent.
Balancing Trade Policy With Domestic Reforms
While the new law is not a direct response to tariffs, its timing and tone suggest that China is preparing for a protracted decoupling with the U.S. by fostering self-reliance and improving internal efficiency. The recent back-and-forth on tariff suspensions shows a parallel dynamic: efforts to reduce external friction are being matched by domestic reforms to ensure that future growth can be sustained without overdependence on vulnerable trade relationships.
As the trade war with the U.S. continues to strain traditional growth engines like exports and infrastructure, the private sector is being positioned as a key source of endogenous innovation and employment. For this strategy to succeed, consistent legal protections and access to capital will be essential.
Source: Bloomberg